3/23: Repeal The Bill!
After spending months advocating a "kill the bill" strategy, conservative bloggers have swiftly pivoted to a "repeal the bill" strategy. RedState editor Erick Erickson is urging his readers to sign a pledge demanding that cong. GOPers "commit to repealing Obamacare and starting over, not just tinkering with it to make a monstrosity less of a monster." Meanwhile, lefty bloggers are pointing out that even if cong. GOPers capture the House and Senate this year, it won't be possible for them to repeal the bill until 2013. Steve Singiser accuses conservative leaders of deliberately misleading their base: "[T]he 'repeal the bill' meme...is a cynical attempt to keep their faithful engaged, on the false hope that the powerless GOP can do something about it."
What else is happening in the blogosphere?
- Liberal bloggers (Morrill, digby, Aravosis) are ridiculing Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) for warning that the passage of health care reform means that "there will be no cooperation for the rest of the year." John Cole quips: "Oh no! Not obstructionism! They wouldn't dare try that!" Lefty bloggers (Silver, Moulitsas, digby, Cole) are also denying that Dems behaved in an anti-democratic fashion by passing health care reform.
- Several conservative bloggers (Allahpundit, Ponnuru) think that health care reform's passage is bad news for ex-MA Gov. Mitt Romney's (R) WH '12 prospects. Liberal blogger Josh Marshall agrees: "If the Republicans want to make Obama's signature piece of legislation a centerpiece of their 2012 campaign (and it's hard to imagine they won't since what else will they run on?), they can't very well run a candidate who supported and passed close to an identical bill. It's a no-brainer."
- Erickson hopes that Sen. Bob Bennett (R-UT) fares poorly in today's caucuses, which will determine how many of his supporters become delegates at the state convention. Erickson writes: "He makes great theater on the floor of the Senate pretending to be a conservative. Behind the scenes he sell out Utah and conservatives nationally."
- Liberal blogger Andrew Sabl argues that lefty bloggers -- namely Steve Benen -- deserve credit for saving the health care reform effort after it was temporarily derailed by Sen. Scott Brown's (R-MA) election.
HEALTH CARE REFORM: Repeal The Bill!
Conservative bloggers are demanding that cong. GOPers repeal the health care bill:
- Human Events' Brian Darling: "This weekend's actions by Congress and the President should remind us of the British colonists who tossed tea in the Boston Harbor in an act of defiance against their faraway monarch. Americans need to repeal the idea of ObamaCare, sue the federal government to get back individual freedom and use the federal elections of 2010 to replace members of Congress who don't listen to constituents."
- Townhall's John Hawkins: "[U]nlike Social Security and Medicare, which were both popular bills that were passed with large bipartisan majorities, this bill is unpopular, passed without Republican support, and most of the 'benefits' don't come into effect until 2014. That gives us an opportunity to do something that rarely happens in American politics: We have a legitimate chance to repeal an entitlement program."
- RedState's Neil Stevens: "The Eeyores of the conservative movement are all over this Obamacare vote, declaring that we're doomed to perpetual socialism because Republicans never repeal anything. To them I say: bah. We've never been in this situation before, where we'll actually win an election on the heels of passage. [...] We can fight back before much of it even takes effect, not over a decade later when the benefits are entrenched. No excuses. No pessimism. Fight and win, politically."
- Michelle Malkin: "[A]s I said over the weekend, while the House debate is over, this fight has only just begun. More states are joining the core group of state attorneys general who are suing over the constitutionality. The repeal-the-bill-movement is burgeoning."
Townhall's Carol Platt Liebau urges GOPers to advocate "repeal and replace" rather than merely "repeal": "[A] drive for 'repeal' isn't going to be enough. Republicans need to run on a campaign of 'repeal and replace.' In other words, repeal the high-tax, intrusive, Big Government route to (insert alleged 'benefit' of the legislation) and replace it with the free-market-oriented, consumer-in-control approach to the same (benefit). 'Repeal and replace' has the advantage of highlighting the fact that Republicans are more than -- as Democrats would characterize them -- the party of 'no.' Yes, the GOP does have a plan. And it empowers Americans, rather than the government that's shown -- over the past weekend -- it's less interested in governing them than ruling them."
Erickson disagrees with Liebau: "Let me be blunt: any Republican who says we will repeal and replace will themselves be replaced. We want repeal period."
HEALTH CARE REFORM II: Repeal The Bill? Keep Dreaming!
Liberal bloggers are portraying the "repeal the bill" plan as unrealistic, since it won't be possible to repeal the bill until 2013:
- Think Progress' Matthew Yglesias: "With repealing health reform the right-wing fetish point of the day, it's worth observing that it's literally not possible for Republicans to win enough Senate seats in 2010 to pass anything over Barack Obama's veto. If they won every single Democratic-held seat that's up in 2010, and held on to Ohio, New Hampshire, and Missouri the Republicans would be up to 59 Senators -- far, far short of the 67 you'd need. To repeal health care, you need to win the 2012 Presidential election, which I think is generically unlikely. What's more, there's a fair chance the Republican nominee will be Mitt Romney who doesn't even really disagree with the main tenets of what passed last night."
- FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver: "[T]he bill the Democrats passed last night will undergo a variety of political and legal challenges before the bulk of its provisions go into effect in 2014. The sexiest of these challenges is the threat of repeal, which is the subject of an editorial in seemingly every conservative news outlet today. But it's also one of the least likely to threaten the bill. Repeal is not impossible -- not by a long shot -- but it's unlikely."
- Daily Kos' Singiser: "[T]he 'repeal the bill' meme...is a cynical attempt to keep their faithful engaged, on the false hope that the powerless GOP can do something about it."
Daily Kos' BarbinMD thinks Dems should respond aggressively to calls to "repeal the bill": [T]the Democrats' response needs to be, what do you want to repeal first? Not discriminating against children with pre-existing conditions? Allowing children to stay on their parents insurance until they're 26? Insurance companies not being allowed to drop you if you get sick or capping the amount they'll pay if you have a catastrophic illness? Which ones are Republicans against? In other words, bring it on."
THOUGHT OF THE DAY: Has Romney Lost The RomneyCare = ObamaCare Argument?
The Atlantic's Marc Ambinder:
"There are important differences between what Mitt Romney did in Massachusetts and what Democrats passed [Sunday] night, but the basic structure of the program designed to expand coverage, the minimum level of benefits, the individual mandates -- the nubs of the Obama-Democratic bill -- are based on the Massachusetts model (which itself was based on conservative models in the 1990s). Romney and his supporters have to argue about the details: Romney was forced to accept changes to his bill in order to satisfy the Democratic legislature, that the bill didn't raise taxes (except fees on hospitals) and that, in any event, Massachusetts was a special case because of its relatively low percentage of uninsured folks; states should be left to experiment on their own, the bill didn't cut costs, etc. These aren't very compelling arguments politically, though I am sensitive to the substantive point. Sensitive, but not entirely convinced.
Whether RomneyCare worked is an open question: costs have risen (though the deep recession can be blamed here), forcing the state to beg the federal government for money, but it has achieved its coverage goal, and most people who are part of the insurance exchange are happy with it. One reason why the plan is fiscally tenuous now is because Romney and state Democrats left the heavy lifting -- the bending of the cost curve -- to their successors. Retrospective prediction: had the country not plunged into a recession, RomneyCare would be seen as a stunning and innovative success.
One thing Romney can say, and that Democrats can't, is that Romney's bill was bipartisan. He worked with his Democrats, with Sen. Ted Kennedy. This won't play well with a primary audience, however, especially if 'Obamacare' remains as unpopular with Republicans as it is right now. "
LEST WE FORGET: Good Night's Sleep Changes Nothing
From The Onion:
"FLAGSTAFF, AZ -- Despite receiving a much-anticipated good night's rest, local man Arthur Baldwin awoke from eight uninterrupted hours of sleep Monday to the realization that he was still out of shape, lonely, and generally dissatisfied with his life. 'Huh,' said Baldwin, who at 7 a.m. found himself slightly more alert than usual but remained $55,000 in debt and trapped in a toxic, dead-end relationship. 'I still hate my job and I still feel like sh*t. What time is it? F*ck.' At press time, Baldwin had decided to return to the only thing that ever did bring him pleasure in life, Afghani brown tar heroin."
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